The model estimates 1.21 goals for Villarreal and 1.78 for Real Madrid. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Villarreal and 6 for Real Madrid, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Real Madrid · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Villarreal is going head to head with Real Madrid on March 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 27.
Villarreal take on Real Madrid in the LaLiga on 7 March 2027 at 00:00.
Villarreal are currently placed 10th in the table with 12 points, while Real Madrid occupy 3rd position with 24 points.
Villarreal come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Real Madrid have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 58 recorded meetings, Real Madrid have 33 wins against Villarreal, with 18 draws.
Prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.99. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 60%.




In their last 6 matches, Villarreal have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Villarreal's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Villarreal's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Real Madrid have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Real Madrid have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Real Madrid's last 6 matches.