The model estimates 2.36 goals for Villarreal and 0.86 for Malaga. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Villarreal and 6 for Malaga, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Villarreal · 65%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Villarreal is going head to head with Malaga on March 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 29.
Villarreal take on Malaga in the LaLiga on 21 March 2027 at 00:00.
Villarreal are currently placed 10th in the table with 12 points, while Malaga occupy 20th position with 5 points.
Villarreal come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Malaga have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Villarreal have 1 win against Malaga.
Prediction: Villarreal to win with probability 64%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.21. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 53%.




In their last 6 matches, Villarreal have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Villarreal's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Villarreal's last 6 matches.
Malaga have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Malaga's last 6 matches.