The model estimates 1.85 goals for Real Madrid and 1.00 for Atl. Madrid. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Real Madrid and 6 for Atl. Madrid, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Real Madrid · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Real Madrid is going head to head with Atl. Madrid on April 04, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 30.
Real Madrid take on Atl. Madrid in the LaLiga on 4 April 2027 at 00:00.
Real Madrid are currently placed 3rd in the table with 24 points, while Atl. Madrid occupy 2nd position with 25 points.
Real Madrid come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atl. Madrid have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Atl. Madrid have 2 wins against Real Madrid.
Prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.85. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 55%.




In their last 6 matches, Real Madrid have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Real Madrid have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Real Madrid's last 6 matches.
Atl. Madrid are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Atl. Madrid have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Atl. Madrid have won 5 of their last 6 matches.