The model estimates 1.72 goals for Varzim and 0.93 for Trofense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Varzim and 6 for Trofense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Varzim · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Varzim is going head to head with Trofense on November 28, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 10.
Varzim take on Trofense in the Liga 3 on 28 November 2026 at 18:00.
Varzim are currently placed 10th in the table with 9 points, while Trofense occupy 19th position with 5 points.
Varzim come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Trofense have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Varzim have 1 win against Trofense.
Prediction: Varzim to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.66. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 51%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Varzim's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Varzim's last 6 matches.
Varzim have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Trofense have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Trofense have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Trofense concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.