The model estimates 1.49 goals for Varzim and 1.38 for Pacos Ferreira. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Varzim and 6 for Pacos Ferreira, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Varzim · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Varzim is going head to head with Pacos Ferreira on December 13, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 12.
Varzim take on Pacos Ferreira in the Liga 3 on 13 December 2026 at 18:00.
Varzim are currently placed 10th in the table with 9 points, while Pacos Ferreira occupy 16th position with 8 points.
Varzim come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Pacos Ferreira have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Varzim have 1 win against Pacos Ferreira.
Prediction: Varzim to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.87. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 59%.
VARPACVARPACVARPACVARPACVARPACVARPACVARPACVARPACVARPACThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Varzim's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Varzim's last 6 matches.
Varzim have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Pacos Ferreira have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Pacos Ferreira have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Pacos Ferreira's last 6 matches.
