The model estimates 2.37 goals for Paredes and 1.09 for Varzim. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Paredes and 6 for Varzim, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Paredes · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Paredes is going head to head with Varzim on December 20, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 13.
Paredes take on Varzim in the Liga 3 on 20 December 2026 at 18:00.
Paredes are currently placed 2nd in the table with 16 points, while Varzim occupy 10th position with 9 points.
Paredes come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Varzim have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Paredes have 1 win against Varzim.
Prediction: Paredes to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.45. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 61%.


In their last 6 matches, Paredes have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Paredes have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Paredes have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Varzim's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Varzim's last 6 matches.
Varzim have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.