The model estimates 1.22 goals for AD Marco 09 and 1.00 for Varzim. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AD Marco 09 and 6 for Varzim, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AD Marco 09 · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AD Marco 09 is going head to head with Varzim on December 06, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 11.
AD Marco 09 take on Varzim in the Liga 3 on 6 December 2026 at 18:00.
AD Marco 09 are currently placed 4th in the table with 11 points, while Varzim occupy 10th position with 9 points.
AD Marco 09 come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Varzim have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Varzim have 1 win against AD Marco 09.
Prediction: AD Marco 09 to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.22. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 46%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of AD Marco 09's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AD Marco 09 have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AD Marco 09 have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Varzim's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Varzim's last 6 matches.
Varzim have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.