The model estimates 1.21 goals for Excelsior and 1.87 for Heerenveen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Excelsior and 6 for Heerenveen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Heerenveen · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Excelsior is going head to head with Heerenveen on February 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 24.
Excelsior take on Heerenveen in the Eredivisie on 28 February 2027 at 00:00.
Excelsior are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Heerenveen occupy 7th position with 15 points.
Excelsior come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Heerenveen have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 28 recorded meetings, Heerenveen have 17 wins against Excelsior, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Heerenveen to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.09. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 61%.




Excelsior have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Heerenveen have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Heerenveen's last 6 matches.
Heerenveen have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.