The model estimates 2.12 goals for Union Berlin and 1.83 for Mainz. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Union Berlin and 6 for Mainz, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Union Berlin · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Union Berlin is going head to head with Mainz on April 03, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 28.
Union Berlin take on Mainz in the Bundesliga on 3 April 2027 at 00:00.
Union Berlin are currently placed 17th in the table with 6 points, while Mainz occupy 7th position with 10 points.
Union Berlin come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mainz have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Union Berlin have 9 wins against Mainz, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Union Berlin to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.96. Over 2.5: 76%. BTTS: 75%.




Union Berlin have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin concede an average of 2.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Mainz score an average of 2.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.