The model estimates 2.57 goals for Hoffenheim and 1.59 for Union Berlin. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hoffenheim and 6 for Union Berlin, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hoffenheim · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hoffenheim is going head to head with Union Berlin on April 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 31.
Hoffenheim take on Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 24 April 2027 at 00:00.
Hoffenheim are currently placed 10th in the table with 9 points, while Union Berlin occupy 17th position with 6 points.
Hoffenheim come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Union Berlin have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 14 recorded meetings, Hoffenheim have 6 wins against Union Berlin, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Hoffenheim to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.16. Over 2.5: 78%. BTTS: 74%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Hoffenheim's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Hoffenheim's last 6 matches.
Hoffenheim score an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin concede an average of 2.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.