The model estimates 1.73 goals for Hamburger SV and 1.39 for Union Berlin. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hamburger SV and 6 for Union Berlin, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hamburger SV · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hamburger SV is going head to head with Union Berlin on April 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 29.
Hamburger SV take on Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 10 April 2027 at 00:00.
Hamburger SV are currently placed 12th in the table with 9 points, while Union Berlin occupy 17th position with 6 points.
Hamburger SV come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Union Berlin have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Hamburger SV have 1 win against Union Berlin, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Hamburger SV to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.13. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 63%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hamburger SV's last 6 matches.
Hamburger SV concede an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Hamburger SV have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Union Berlin have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin concede an average of 2.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.