The model estimates 3.72 goals for Freiburg and 1.64 for Mainz. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Freiburg and 6 for Mainz, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Freiburg · 68%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Freiburg is going head to head with Mainz on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 30.
Freiburg take on Mainz in the Bundesliga on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Freiburg are currently placed 3rd in the table with 13 points, while Mainz occupy 7th position with 10 points.
Freiburg come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mainz have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 50 recorded meetings, Freiburg have 18 wins against Mainz, with 16 draws.
Prediction: Freiburg to win with probability 67%. Most likely scoreline: 3-1. Avg goals: 5.36. Over 2.5: 90%. BTTS: 79%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Freiburg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Mainz score an average of 2.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.