The model estimates 1.50 goals for Union Berlin and 1.90 for Freiburg. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Union Berlin and 6 for Freiburg, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Freiburg · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Union Berlin is going head to head with Freiburg on March 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 26.
Union Berlin take on Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 13 March 2027 at 00:00.
Union Berlin are currently placed 17th in the table with 6 points, while Freiburg occupy 3rd position with 13 points.
Union Berlin come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Freiburg have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Union Berlin have 9 wins against Freiburg, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Freiburg to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.40. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 67%.




Union Berlin have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin concede an average of 2.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Freiburg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.