The model estimates 2.19 goals for Hoffenheim and 2.35 for Freiburg. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hoffenheim and 6 for Freiburg, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Freiburg · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hoffenheim is going head to head with Freiburg on April 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 29.
Hoffenheim take on Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 10 April 2027 at 00:00.
Hoffenheim are currently placed 10th in the table with 9 points, while Freiburg occupy 3rd position with 13 points.
Hoffenheim come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Freiburg have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 37 recorded meetings, Freiburg have 15 wins against Hoffenheim, with 14 draws.
Prediction: Freiburg to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.55. Over 2.5: 83%. BTTS: 81%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Hoffenheim's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Hoffenheim's last 6 matches.
Hoffenheim score an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Freiburg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.