The model estimates 2.15 goals for Uniao Da Serra and 1.28 for SB Castelo Branco. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Uniao Da Serra and 6 for SB Castelo Branco, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Uniao Da Serra · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Uniao Da Serra is going head to head with SB Castelo Branco on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 13.
Uniao Da Serra take on SB Castelo Branco in the Campeonato de Portugal on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Uniao Da Serra are currently placed 19th in the table with 12 points, while SB Castelo Branco occupy 29th position with 10 points.
Uniao Da Serra come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas SB Castelo Branco have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, SB Castelo Branco have 2 wins against Uniao Da Serra, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Uniao Da Serra to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.43. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 65%.




Both teams have scored in 6 of Uniao Da Serra's last 6 matches.
Uniao Da Serra have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Uniao Da Serra have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
SB Castelo Branco have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
SB Castelo Branco concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.