The model estimates 0.97 goals for Troyes and 1.54 for Toulouse. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Troyes and 6 for Toulouse, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Toulouse · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Troyes is going head to head with Toulouse on April 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 29.
Troyes take on Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on 24 April 2027 at 00:00.
Troyes are currently placed 17th in the table with 6 points, while Toulouse occupy 11th position with 10 points.
Troyes come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Toulouse have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 25 recorded meetings, Toulouse have 13 wins against Troyes, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Toulouse to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.51. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 50%.




Troyes have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Troyes's last 6 matches.
Troyes have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Toulouse have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Toulouse have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Toulouse's last 6 matches.