The model estimates 1.00 goals for Troyes and 1.32 for Brest. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Troyes and 6 for Brest, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Brest · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Troyes is going head to head with Brest on May 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 30.
Troyes take on Brest in the Ligue 1 on 1 May 2027 at 00:00.
Troyes are currently placed 17th in the table with 6 points, while Brest occupy 13th position with 9 points.
Troyes come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Brest have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 21 recorded meetings, Brest have 10 wins against Troyes, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Brest to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.32. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 48%.




Troyes have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Troyes's last 6 matches.
Troyes have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
Brest have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Brest's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Brest's last 6 matches.