The model estimates 1.57 goals for Le Mans and 0.92 for Troyes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Le Mans and 6 for Troyes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Le Mans · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Le Mans is going head to head with Troyes on May 08, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 31.
Le Mans take on Troyes in the Ligue 1 on 8 May 2027 at 00:00.
Le Mans are currently placed 15th in the table with 7 points, while Troyes occupy 17th position with 6 points.
Le Mans come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Troyes have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Le Mans to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.49. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 49%.




Le Mans have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Le Mans's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Le Mans have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Troyes have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Troyes's last 6 matches.
Troyes have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.