The model estimates 1.30 goals for Toulouse and 1.01 for Lorient. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Toulouse and 6 for Lorient, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Toulouse · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Toulouse is going head to head with Lorient on May 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 32.
Toulouse take on Lorient in the Ligue 1 on 16 May 2027 at 00:00.
Toulouse are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while Lorient occupy 8th position with 12 points.
Toulouse come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lorient have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 40 recorded meetings, Lorient have 14 wins against Toulouse, with 15 draws.
Prediction: Toulouse to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.32. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 48%.




In their last 6 matches, Toulouse have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Toulouse have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Toulouse's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lorient have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Lorient's last 6 matches.
Lorient have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.