The model estimates 0.66 goals for Troyes and 1.03 for Lorient. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Troyes and 6 for Lorient, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lorient · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Troyes is going head to head with Lorient on March 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 23.
Troyes take on Lorient in the Ligue 1 on 6 March 2027 at 00:00.
Troyes are currently placed 17th in the table with 6 points, while Lorient occupy 8th position with 12 points.
Troyes come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lorient have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 28 recorded meetings, Lorient have 12 wins against Troyes, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Lorient to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 1.69. Over 2.5: 24%. BTTS: 33%.




Troyes have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Troyes's last 6 matches.
Troyes have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lorient have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Lorient's last 6 matches.
Lorient have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.