The model estimates 1.19 goals for Lorient and 0.76 for Nice. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lorient and 6 for Nice, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lorient · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lorient is going head to head with Nice on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 25.
Lorient take on Nice in the Ligue 1 on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Lorient are currently placed 8th in the table with 11 points, while Nice occupy 9th position with 11 points.
Lorient come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nice have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 41 recorded meetings, Nice have 16 wins against Lorient, with 16 draws.
Prediction: Lorient to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.95. Over 2.5: 31%. BTTS: 39%.




In their last 6 matches, Lorient have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Lorient have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Lorient score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 home matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Nice's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nice have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Nice's last 6 matches.