The model estimates 1.22 goals for Troyes and 1.42 for Auxerre. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Troyes and 6 for Auxerre, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Auxerre · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Troyes is going head to head with Auxerre on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 25.
Troyes take on Auxerre in the Ligue 1 on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Troyes are currently placed 17th in the table with 6 points, while Auxerre occupy 12th position with 10 points.
Troyes come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Auxerre have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 32 recorded meetings, Auxerre have 13 wins against Troyes, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Auxerre to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.64. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 55%.




Troyes have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Troyes's last 6 matches.
Troyes have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Auxerre's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Auxerre have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Auxerre's last 6 matches.