The model estimates 2.18 goals for Thun and 2.14 for Luzern. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Thun and 6 for Luzern, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Luzern · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Thun is going head to head with Luzern on December 05, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Swiss Super League — Round 16.
Thun take on Luzern in the Swiss Super League on 5 December 2026 at 19:00.
Thun are currently placed 9th in the table with 10 points, while Luzern occupy 8th position with 12 points.
Thun come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Luzern have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Thun have 2 wins against Luzern.
Prediction: Thun to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.31. Over 2.5: 80%. BTTS: 79%.




Thun have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Thun have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Thun concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Luzern's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Luzern's last 6 matches.
Luzern have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.