The model estimates 1.70 goals for CSKA Sofia and 1.30 for Thun. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for CSKA Sofia and 6 for Thun, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: CSKA Sofia · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
CSKA Sofia is going head to head with Thun on December 17, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Europa Conference League — Round 6.
CSKA Sofia take on Thun in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 17 December 2026 at 20:00.
CSKA Sofia are currently placed 23rd in the table with 1 points, while Thun occupy 32nd position with 0 points.
CSKA Sofia come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Thun have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: CSKA Sofia to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.00. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 61%.
CSKTHUCSKTHUCSKTHUCSKTHUCSKTHUCSKTHUCSKTHUCSKTHUCSKTHUThere have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of CSKA Sofia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, CSKA Sofia have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
CSKA Sofia have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Thun have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Thun have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Thun concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
