The model estimates 1.56 goals for Thun and 0.96 for Gent. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Thun and 6 for Gent, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Thun · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Thun is going head to head with Gent on December 10, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Europa Conference League — Round 5.
Thun take on Gent in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 10 December 2026 at 20:00.
Thun are currently placed 32nd in the table with 0 points, while Gent occupy 17th position with 3 points.
Thun come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gent have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Thun to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.52. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 50%.
THUGENTHUGENTHUGENTHUGENTHUGENTHUGENTHUGENTHUGENTHUGENThun have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Thun have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Thun concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gent have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Gent have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Gent's last 6 matches.
