European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 3.24 goals for Lugano and 0.98 for Thun. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lugano and 6 for Thun, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lugano · 71%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lugano is going head to head with Thun on December 12, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Swiss Super League — Round 17.
Lugano take on Thun in the Swiss Super League on 12 December 2026 at 19:00.
Lugano are currently placed 1st in the table with 31 points, while Thun occupy 9th position with 10 points.
Lugano come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Thun have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Lugano have 1 win against Thun.
Prediction: Lugano to win with probability 71%. Most likely scoreline: 3-0. Avg goals: 4.23. Over 2.5: 79%. BTTS: 61%.
LUGTHULUGTHULUGTHULUGTHULUGTHULUGTHULUGTHULUGTHULUGTHUIn their last 6 matches, Lugano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Lugano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Lugano's last 6 matches.
Thun have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Thun have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Thun concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
