The model estimates 1.26 goals for Sukhothai FC and 1.50 for Pathum United. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sukhothai FC and 6 for Pathum United, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Pathum United · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sukhothai FC is going head to head with Pathum United on December 23, 2026 at 14:30. This match is part of Thai League 1 — Round 14.
Sukhothai FC take on Pathum United in the Thai League 1 on 23 December 2026 at 14:30.
Sukhothai FC are currently placed 11th in the table with 9 points, while Pathum United occupy 10th position with 9 points.
Sukhothai FC come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Pathum United have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Pathum United to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.76. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 57%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Sukhothai FC's last 6 matches.
Sukhothai FC score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Sukhothai FC concede an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Pathum United have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Pathum United have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Pathum United's last 6 matches.