The model estimates 1.82 goals for Sturm Graz and 0.95 for Tirol. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sturm Graz and 6 for Tirol, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sturm Graz · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sturm Graz is going head to head with Tirol on November 28, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Austrian Bundesliga — Round 14.
Sturm Graz take on Tirol in the Austrian Bundesliga on 28 November 2026 at 19:00.
Sturm Graz are currently placed 4th in the table with 18 points, while Tirol occupy 7th position with 12 points.
Sturm Graz come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Tirol have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Sturm Graz have yet to beat Tirol, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Sturm Graz to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.77. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 53%.




In their last 6 matches, Sturm Graz have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sturm Graz's last 6 matches.
Sturm Graz score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Tirol have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Tirol have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Tirol have won 4 of their last 6 away matches.