The model estimates 1.83 goals for Stoke City and 0.78 for Watford. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Stoke City and 6 for Watford, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Stoke City · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Stoke City is going head to head with Watford on February 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 31.
Stoke City take on Watford in the Championship on 13 February 2027 at 00:00.
Stoke City are currently placed 3rd in the table with 29 points, while Watford occupy 21st position with 15 points.
Stoke City come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Watford have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Stoke City have 8 wins against Watford, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Stoke City to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.61. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 47%.




In their last 6 matches, Stoke City have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Stoke City have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Stoke City have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Watford have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Watford's last 6 matches.
Watford have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.