The model estimates 2.17 goals for Burnley and 1.15 for Watford. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Burnley and 6 for Watford, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Burnley · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Burnley is going head to head with Watford on February 27, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 34.
Burnley take on Watford in the Championship on 27 February 2027 at 00:00.
Burnley are currently placed 22nd in the table with 8 points, while Watford occupy 21st position with 11 points.
Burnley come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Watford have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 46 recorded meetings, Burnley have 22 wins against Watford, with 12 draws.
Prediction: Burnley to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.31. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 62%.




Burnley have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Burnley's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Burnley's last 6 matches.
Watford have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Watford have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Watford concede an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.