The model estimates 2.41 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.13 for Stoke City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Middlesbrough and 6 for Stoke City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Middlesbrough · 59%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Middlesbrough is going head to head with Stoke City on February 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 32.
Middlesbrough take on Stoke City in the Championship on 17 February 2027 at 00:00.
Middlesbrough are currently placed 1st in the table with 25 points, while Stoke City occupy 9th position with 20 points.
Middlesbrough come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Stoke City have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 80 recorded meetings, Middlesbrough have 35 wins against Stoke City, with 19 draws.
Prediction: Middlesbrough to win with probability 59%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.55. Over 2.5: 69%. BTTS: 63%.




Middlesbrough are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Middlesbrough have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Middlesbrough's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Stoke City have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Stoke City have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Stoke City's last 6 matches.