The model estimates 1.44 goals for St Pauli and 0.93 for Holstein Kiel. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for St Pauli and 6 for Holstein Kiel, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: St Pauli · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
St Pauli is going head to head with Holstein Kiel on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of 2. Bundesliga — Round 19.
St Pauli take on Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
St Pauli are currently placed 9th in the table with 12 points, while Holstein Kiel occupy 18th position with 8 points.
St Pauli come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Holstein Kiel have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 25 recorded meetings, St Pauli have 13 wins against Holstein Kiel, with 5 draws.
Prediction: St Pauli to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.37. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 48%.




St Pauli have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, St Pauli have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of St Pauli's last 6 matches.
Holstein Kiel have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Holstein Kiel's last 6 matches.
Holstein Kiel have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.