The model estimates 1.62 goals for St Pauli and 1.35 for Arminia Bielefeld. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for St Pauli and 6 for Arminia Bielefeld, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: St Pauli · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
St Pauli is going head to head with Arminia Bielefeld on February 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of 2. Bundesliga — Round 21.
St Pauli take on Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga on 13 February 2027 at 00:00.
St Pauli are currently placed 9th in the table with 12 points, while Arminia Bielefeld occupy 6th position with 17 points.
St Pauli come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arminia Bielefeld have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, St Pauli have 6 wins against Arminia Bielefeld, with 9 draws.
Prediction: St Pauli to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.96. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 61%.




St Pauli have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, St Pauli have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of St Pauli's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Arminia Bielefeld have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arminia Bielefeld have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Arminia Bielefeld's last 6 matches.