The model estimates 1.56 goals for Holstein Kiel and 1.03 for Arminia Bielefeld. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Holstein Kiel and 6 for Arminia Bielefeld, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Holstein Kiel · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Holstein Kiel is going head to head with Arminia Bielefeld on November 07, 2026 at 15:30. This match is part of 2. Bundesliga — Round 11.
Holstein Kiel take on Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga on 7 November 2026 at 15:30.
Holstein Kiel are currently placed 13th in the table with 8 points, while Arminia Bielefeld occupy 9th position with 11 points.
Holstein Kiel come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arminia Bielefeld have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 12 recorded meetings, Arminia Bielefeld have 7 wins against Holstein Kiel, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Holstein Kiel to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.59. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 52%.




Holstein Kiel have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Holstein Kiel have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Holstein Kiel's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Arminia Bielefeld have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Arminia Bielefeld have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Arminia Bielefeld's last 6 matches.