The model estimates 3.13 goals for Sporting CP and 1.12 for Estrela Amadora. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sporting CP and 6 for Estrela Amadora, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sporting CP · 66%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sporting CP is going head to head with Estrela Amadora on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 18.
Sporting CP take on Estrela Amadora in the Primeira Liga on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Sporting CP are currently placed 3rd in the table with 18 points, while Estrela Amadora occupy 12th position with 10 points.
Sporting CP come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Estrela Amadora have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 44 recorded meetings, Sporting CP have 30 wins against Estrela Amadora, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Sporting CP to win with probability 67%. Most likely scoreline: 3-1. Avg goals: 4.25. Over 2.5: 80%. BTTS: 65%.




In their last 6 matches, Sporting CP have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sporting CP's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sporting CP's last 6 matches.
Estrela Amadora have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Estrela Amadora concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Estrela Amadora's last 6 away matches.