The model estimates 1.31 goals for Alverca and 2.13 for Sporting CP. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alverca and 6 for Sporting CP, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sporting CP · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alverca is going head to head with Sporting CP on January 31, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 20.
Alverca take on Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga on 31 January 2027 at 00:00.
Alverca are currently placed 7th in the table with 11 points, while Sporting CP occupy 3rd position with 18 points.
Alverca come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sporting CP have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 18 recorded meetings, Sporting CP have 10 wins against Alverca, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Sporting CP to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.43. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 65%.
ALVSPOALVSPOALVSPOALVSPOALVSPOALVSPOALVSPOALVSPOALVSPOIn their last 6 matches, Alverca have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alverca's last 6 matches.
Alverca score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sporting CP have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sporting CP's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sporting CP's last 6 matches.
