The model estimates 1.25 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 1.70 for Sporting CP. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Vitoria Guimaraes and 6 for Sporting CP, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sporting CP · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Vitoria Guimaraes is going head to head with Sporting CP on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 19.
Vitoria Guimaraes take on Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Vitoria Guimaraes are currently placed 13th in the table with 8 points, while Sporting CP occupy 3rd position with 18 points.
Vitoria Guimaraes come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sporting CP have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Sporting CP have 1 win against Vitoria Guimaraes.
Prediction: Sporting CP to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.95. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 60%.




Vitoria Guimaraes have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Vitoria Guimaraes's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Vitoria Guimaraes have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Sporting CP have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sporting CP's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sporting CP's last 6 matches.