The model estimates 1.28 goals for Spennymoor and 1.70 for Chorley. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Spennymoor and 6 for Chorley, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chorley · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Spennymoor is going head to head with Chorley on October 31, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 15.
Spennymoor take on Chorley in the England National League North on 31 October 2026 at 15:00.
Spennymoor are currently placed 24th in the table with 7 points, while Chorley occupy 11th position with 20 points.
Spennymoor come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chorley have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 19 recorded meetings, Spennymoor have 9 wins against Chorley, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Chorley to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.99. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 61%.




Spennymoor have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Spennymoor have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Spennymoor's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chorley have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.