The model estimates 1.58 goals for Bedford and 1.29 for Chorley. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bedford and 6 for Chorley, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bedford · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bedford is going head to head with Chorley on November 17, 2026 at 19:45. This match is part of England National League North — Round 12.
Bedford take on Chorley in the England National League North on 17 November 2026 at 19:45.
Bedford are currently placed 7th in the table with 22 points, while Chorley occupy 11th position with 20 points.
Bedford come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chorley have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Bedford have 1 win against Chorley.
Prediction: Bedford to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.87. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 59%.
BEDCHOBEDCHOBEDCHOBEDCHOBEDCHOBEDCHOBEDCHOBEDCHOBEDCHOIn their last 6 matches, Bedford have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Bedford have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Bedford are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chorley have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.
