The model estimates 1.39 goals for Chorley and 1.46 for Hereford. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chorley and 6 for Hereford, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hereford · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chorley is going head to head with Hereford on November 07, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 16.
Chorley take on Hereford in the England National League North on 7 November 2026 at 15:00.
Chorley are currently placed 11th in the table with 20 points, while Hereford occupy 2nd position with 26 points.
Chorley come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hereford have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Chorley have 6 wins against Hereford, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Chorley to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.85. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 59%.
CHOHERCHOHERCHOHERCHOHERCHOHERCHOHERCHOHERCHOHERCHOHERIn their last 6 matches, Chorley have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.
Hereford have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Hereford score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Hereford have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
