The model estimates 0.98 goals for Spennymoor and 1.32 for Chester. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Spennymoor and 6 for Chester, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chester · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Spennymoor is going head to head with Chester on November 17, 2026 at 19:45. This match is part of England National League North — Round 12.
Spennymoor take on Chester in the England National League North on 17 November 2026 at 19:45.
Spennymoor are currently placed 24th in the table with 10 points, while Chester occupy 9th position with 23 points.
Spennymoor come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chester have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 15 recorded meetings, Spennymoor have 7 wins against Chester, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Chester to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.30. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 48%.
SPECHESPECHESPECHESPECHESPECHESPECHESPECHESPECHESPECHESpennymoor have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Spennymoor have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Spennymoor's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chester's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Chester's last 6 matches.
Chester score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
