The model estimates 1.23 goals for Spartak Varna and 1.18 for Cherno More. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Spartak Varna and 6 for Cherno More, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Spartak Varna · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Spartak Varna is going head to head with Cherno More on November 21, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 15.
Spartak Varna take on Cherno More in the Parva Liga on 21 November 2026 at 19:00.
Spartak Varna are currently placed 7th in the table with 13 points, while Cherno More occupy 13th position with 9 points.
Spartak Varna come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Cherno More have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Spartak Varna have 1 win against Cherno More.
Prediction: Spartak Varna to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.41. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 51%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Spartak Varna's last 6 matches.
Spartak Varna have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Spartak Varna have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Cherno More have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Cherno More's last 6 matches.
Cherno More concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.