The model estimates 2.20 goals for Ludogorets and 0.65 for Cherno More. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ludogorets and 6 for Cherno More, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ludogorets · 64%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ludogorets is going head to head with Cherno More on December 05, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 17.
Ludogorets take on Cherno More in the Parva Liga on 5 December 2026 at 19:00.
Ludogorets are currently placed 3rd in the table with 26 points, while Cherno More occupy 13th position with 9 points.
Ludogorets come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Cherno More have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Ludogorets have 1 win against Cherno More.
Prediction: Ludogorets to win with probability 64%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.86. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 44%.




In their last 6 matches, Ludogorets have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Ludogorets's last 6 matches.
Ludogorets score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Cherno More have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Cherno More's last 6 matches.
Cherno More concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.