The model estimates 1.02 goals for Santurtzi and 0.80 for Erandio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Santurtzi and 6 for Erandio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Santurtzi · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Santurtzi is going head to head with Erandio on November 22, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 12.
Santurtzi take on Erandio in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 22 November 2026 at 20:00.
Santurtzi are currently placed 14th in the table with 9 points, while Erandio occupy 16th position with 6 points.
Santurtzi come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Erandio have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Santurtzi have 2 wins against Erandio, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Santurtzi and Erandio to draw with probability 33%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.82. Over 2.5: 27%. BTTS: 37%.
Santurtzi have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Santurtzi have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Santurtzi's last 6 matches.
Erandio have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Erandio have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Erandio's last 6 matches.
