The model estimates 2.20 goals for Leioa and 0.59 for Santurtzi. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Leioa and 6 for Santurtzi, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Leioa · 65%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Leioa is going head to head with Santurtzi on November 29, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 13.
Leioa take on Santurtzi in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 29 November 2026 at 20:00.
Leioa are currently placed 1st in the table with 16 points, while Santurtzi occupy 14th position with 9 points.
Leioa come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Santurtzi have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Leioa have 2 wins against Santurtzi, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Leioa to win with probability 65%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.79. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 41%.
Leioa are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leioa have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Leioa's last 6 matches.
Santurtzi have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Santurtzi have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Santurtzi's last 6 matches.