The model estimates 1.77 goals for Beasain and 0.84 for Erandio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Beasain and 6 for Erandio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Beasain · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Beasain is going head to head with Erandio on December 06, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 14.
Beasain take on Erandio in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 6 December 2026 at 20:00.
Beasain are currently placed 10th in the table with 11 points, while Erandio occupy 16th position with 6 points.
Beasain come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Erandio have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Beasain have 1 win against Erandio, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Beasain to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.62. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 49%.
Beasain have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Beasain's last 6 matches.
Beasain score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Erandio have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Erandio have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Erandio's last 6 matches.