The model estimates 1.04 goals for Erandio and 1.35 for Durango. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Erandio and 6 for Durango, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Durango · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Erandio is going head to head with Durango on December 13, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 15.
Erandio take on Durango in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 13 December 2026 at 20:00.
Erandio are currently placed 16th in the table with 6 points, while Durango occupy 8th position with 13 points.
Erandio come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Durango have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Durango have 1 win against Erandio, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Durango to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.39. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 50%.
Erandio have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Erandio have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Erandio's last 6 matches.
Durango are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Durango have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Durango's last 6 matches.
