The model estimates 1.37 goals for Caldas and 1.33 for Santarem. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Caldas and 6 for Santarem, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Santarem · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Caldas is going head to head with Santarem on December 20, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 13.
Caldas take on Santarem in the Liga 3 on 20 December 2026 at 18:00.
Caldas are currently placed 15th in the table with 8 points, while Santarem occupy 8th position with 10 points.
Caldas come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Santarem have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 12 recorded meetings, Caldas have 4 wins against Santarem, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Caldas to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.70. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 56%.
CALSANCALSANCALSANCALSANCALSANCALSANCALSANCALSANCALSANIn their last 6 matches, Caldas have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Caldas have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Caldas have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Santarem have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Santarem's last 6 matches.
Santarem concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
