The model estimates 1.74 goals for Roda and 0.91 for De Graafschap. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Roda and 6 for De Graafschap, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Roda · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Roda is going head to head with De Graafschap on November 29, 2026 at 18:45. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 17.
Roda take on De Graafschap in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 29 November 2026 at 18:45.
Roda are currently placed 5th in the table with 22 points, while De Graafschap occupy 16th position with 12 points.
Roda come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas De Graafschap have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Roda to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.65. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 51%.




In their last 6 matches, Roda have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Roda's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Roda's last 6 home matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of De Graafschap's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, De Graafschap have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
De Graafschap have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.