The model estimates 2.20 goals for De Graafschap and 1.46 for Dordrecht. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for De Graafschap and 6 for Dordrecht, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: De Graafschap · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
De Graafschap is going head to head with Dordrecht on December 11, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 19.
De Graafschap take on Dordrecht in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 11 December 2026 at 22:00.
De Graafschap are currently placed 16th in the table with 12 points, while Dordrecht occupy 18th position with 11 points.
De Graafschap come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Dordrecht have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: De Graafschap to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.66. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 69%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of De Graafschap's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, De Graafschap have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
De Graafschap have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Dordrecht have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Dordrecht's last 6 matches.
Dordrecht have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.